lousy tickets rate?

[Noctis666]

Originally Posted by badna0

I did some basic stats analysis...

Let's assume the poppuri ticket rate is 1/5... This means if you open 50 boxes, you should expect to get
10 tickets +/- 5.6 tickets 95% of the time. This means that 95% of the time, you will receive between 4.4 tickets - 15.6 tickets.

For 100 boxes, we have
20 +/- 8 tickets; 95% of the time you will receive between 8-32 tickets

250 boxes:
50 +/- 12.6 tickets, 95% of the time you will receive between 37.4-62.6 tickets.

(if you're mathematically inclined, this is a binomial distribution with p = .2, q = .8... variance is npq, and standard deviation = sqrt (variance). Then 95% of sample in a SRS is within 2 sdev's of the mean... etc. etc.)

Wow. Good thing I took statistics last semester or none of that would have made any sense to me.

[Nichol]

^----

Understanding this will not help increase the Ticket rates.

We should just drill tons of boxes...Quantity over quality. :shock:
Win win situation, more boxes = more tickets/we make bonus stage = everyone happy.

So go forth and drill. Nao. :shock:

[n00bE]

Last time i got about 110 pop ticks out of 1xxx boxes, now i got liek 60 from only 500

[Noctis666]

Yeah. Understanding or not understanding the ticket rate brings us to one conclusion that will always be the same. DRILL MOOOORRE BOOOOXESSS!!

[Senpai]

Originally Posted by badna0

I did some basic stats analysis...

Let's assume the poppuri ticket rate is 1/5... This means if you open 50 boxes, you should expect to get
10 tickets +/- 5.6 tickets 95% of the time. This means that 95% of the time, you will receive between 4.4 tickets - 15.6 tickets.

For 100 boxes, we have
20 +/- 8 tickets; 95% of the time you will receive between 8-32 tickets

250 boxes:
50 +/- 12.6 tickets, 95% of the time you will receive between 37.4-62.6 tickets.

(if you're mathematically inclined, this is a binomial distribution with p = .2, q = .8... variance is npq, and standard deviation = sqrt (variance). Then 95% of sample in a SRS is within 2 sdev's of the mean... etc. etc.)

Basically, 20%.

[AsuraSky]

yep xD so if it's 20% then around 247 more boxes left until i can get around 100 tickets @_@
*goes drill some more*

[bibu]

hah WRONG u all shouldnt be reading this thread u should be drilling nao!
DRILL DRIILL DRILL!!!!

[Reldar]

I just opened 490 boxes and got:

99 tickets (lol of course it couldn't be 100)
88 novice boxes
87 jewelry potions
74 galder coupons
49 rookie boxes
38 advanced boxes
32 elixir extracts
23 expert boxes

I found the huge difference in HP versus MP potions to be rather odd, expected to get equal numbers (not that it mattered since I was npc'ing all of them anyway) Also expected the compound boxes to be equal but obviously not

[Pyrofyr]

Yea I've gotten way less Elixir than I have Jewelry... not that I use them. I drop (Far away from a shop) or sell (near enough to bother). The boxes all seem to be kinda 'meh', I get more Novice than anything :S

The ticket rate decline was annoying though.

1st day of event - Dug up 50 boxes, got 30 tickets
After that - I've dug up over 500 boxes in a sitting, got around 70 tickets

Makes me sad in my pants. @_@;
I'm still 5~6 tickets away from a pendant/hat.

[Noctis666]

I like opening the boxes, because I like saving up comping items.

[bibu]

i like opening boxes for the suspence they create lol