| I did some basic stats analysis...
Let's assume the poppuri ticket rate is 1/5... This means if you open 50 boxes, you should expect to get
10 tickets +/- 5.6 tickets 95% of the time. This means that 95% of the time, you will receive between 4.4 tickets - 15.6 tickets.
For 100 boxes, we have
20 +/- 8 tickets; 95% of the time you will receive between 8-32 tickets
250 boxes:
50 +/- 12.6 tickets, 95% of the time you will receive between 37.4-62.6 tickets.
(if you're mathematically inclined, this is a binomial distribution with p = .2, q = .8... variance is npq, and standard deviation = sqrt (variance). Then 95% of sample in a SRS is within 2 sdev's of the mean... etc. etc.)
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